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New Year Price Check (Raise, Hold, or Rework?)

ROLE: You are a pricing analyst for small local service businesses. You are careful with numbers, you never invent a figure, and you know that most owners underprice out of fear, not data. Your job: decide, service by service, whether I should raise prices in January, hold them, or rework the service, and show the math so I can check it. INPUTS (fill in what you know; leave a blank empty rather than guess): - Business: {business} (e.g., Rick's Flattop Shop, a walk-in traditional barbershop at 600 S Bell Blvd in Cedar Park, TX) - My services, current prices and time each takes: {services with price and minutes} - Roughly how many of each I sell per month: {monthly volume per service} - Direct cost per service (supplies, card fees, commission or booth split): {direct cost per service} - Monthly fixed costs (rent, insurance, software, utilities): {fixed costs} - Hours I'm open per month and how many chairs, rooms or crews: {capacity} - How full I am (busy times, wait list, slow days): {how busy} - When I last raised prices, and by how much: {last raise} - What nearby competitors publicly post for similar services (name optional, include the date you checked): {competitor prices} - What my cost increases were this year (supplier notices, rent, wages): {cost increases} - Customers I don't want to lose (seniors, regulars, kids, a key account): {protected customers} - My goal for next year (more profit, fewer hours, room to hire): {goal} PROCESS: 1. Margin per Service: for each service, calculate revenue per hour of chair or crew time (price divided by hours) and contribution (price minus direct cost). Show a small table. Flag any service that earns less per hour than my average. 2. Break-Even Check: using {fixed costs} and {capacity}, work out how much each open hour has to earn before I make a dollar. Say plainly whether my current mix covers it at my real volume. 3. Market Position: place each service against {competitor prices}: low, middle or high. Only use the competitor numbers I gave you. If I gave none, write (add 3 nearby competitors' posted prices) and skip this step's conclusions. 4. Demand Signal: read {how busy}. A wait list, turned-away customers or full Saturdays mean demand can carry a raise. Empty weekday afternoons mean price is probably not the problem. 5. Recommendation per Service: one line each: Raise (by how many dollars), Hold, or Rework (change what's included, the time, or split it into two tiers). Round to prices that look normal for my type of business. Keep any raise under 10 percent unless it hasn't changed in 2 years or more, and say why if you go higher. 6. Impact: estimate the monthly revenue change at my current volume, then again assuming I lose 5 percent of visits on raised services. Show both numbers. 7. Who Will Notice: name which of {protected customers} are hit, and suggest one way to soften it (hold their price for 3 months, keep one entry-level service unchanged, or a loyalty perk) that doesn't undo the raise. 8. Next Step: a one-paragraph brief I can paste into the Price Increase Announcement prompt. OUTPUT FORMAT: Headings exactly: Margin per Service, Break-Even Check, Market Position, Demand Signal, Recommendation per Service, Impact, Who Will Notice, Next Step. QUALITY CHECKS (run before answering): - Every number traces back to my inputs or to a calculation you show. Never invent a cost, a volume or a competitor price. - Recheck all arithmetic once before answering. - If an input is blank, write (add your ...) where it would be used and say what that blank changes. - No "value-based pricing" lectures or jargon. Plain sentences. - Don't recommend a raise just because competitors charge more. Demand and margin have to support it.

Tip: fill in the {brackets}

Swap every highlighted bit for your real details before you paste. The more specific you are, the less generic the answer.

What it does

Does the math before the announcement. It works out what each service actually earns you after costs, compares your prices to what nearby competitors publicly post, reads how full your calendar is, and recommends raise, hold or rework for each service, with the dollar impact and the customers most likely to notice.

When to use it

Run it by mid-December so a January 1 change (a Friday in 2027) gives you time to post notice. Then use the Price Increase Announcement prompt to tell customers.

Example result

Example inputs (the shop's name, address, services and current prices come from Rick's Flattop Shop's own website; the three competitor prices are from other Cedar Park barbershops' posted price lists checked Oct 24, 2026, shown without names; the volumes, costs, busy times and goals are made-up samples for this test, not the shop's real figures): - Business: Rick's Flattop Shop, 600 S Bell Blvd #6, Cedar Park, TX - Services: Regular $26 (30 min), Flattop $30 (30 min), Bald Fade $30 (30 min), Buzz $23 (10 min), Beard Trim $14 (15 min), Hot Towel Face Shave $36 (45 min) - Monthly volume (sample): Regular 220, Flattop 90, Bald Fade 120, Buzz 60, Beard Trim 70, Face Shave 15 - Direct cost per service (sample): about $3 each (supplies plus card fees) - Fixed costs (sample): $4,200 per month - Capacity (sample): 2 chairs, about 160 open hours per month - How busy (sample): Saturdays have a line by 10am; Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons are slow - Last raise (sample): $2 across the board, 3 years ago - Competitor prices (posted, checked Oct 24, 2026): basic haircut $29, $40 and $50 at three other Cedar Park shops - Cost increases (sample): supplies up about 8 percent, rent up $250 a month - Protected customers (sample): seniors and kids - Goal (sample): same hours, more profit Example output (from a test run of the prompt above, trimmed): Margin per Service Service | Price | Per chair-hour | After direct cost Regular | $26 | $52 | $23 Flattop | $30 | $60 | $27 Bald Fade | $30 | $60 | $27 Buzz | $23 | $138 | $20 Beard Trim | $14 | $56 | $11 Face Shave | $36 | $48 | $33 The Regular and the Face Shave earn the least per hour. The Buzz is your quiet hero. Break-Even Check $4,200 in fixed costs over 320 chair-hours (2 chairs, 160 hours) means each chair-hour needs about $13 before you profit. At the sample volume, monthly revenue is about $14,920 and direct costs about $1,725, so you're well past break-even. This isn't a survival raise; it's a "you haven't moved in 3 years" raise. Market Position At $26, your Regular is below every posted competitor price you gave ($29, $40, $50). You're the low-price option in this sample, by a lot. Demand Signal A Saturday line by 10am says demand can carry a raise. Slow Tuesday and Wednesday afternoons are a scheduling problem, not a price problem. Recommendation per Service - Regular: Raise $2, to $28. Still under every competitor you listed. - Flattop and Bald Fade: Raise $2, to $32. These are the specialty; people come for them. - Buzz: Hold at $23. It's already your best earner per hour. - Beard Trim: Raise $2, to $16. That's 14 percent, over the usual 10 percent cap, but it hasn't moved in 3 years and it's still a $16 trim. - Face Shave: Rework. At 45 minutes it earns the least per hour. Either $40 (11 percent, same 3-year reason), or a shorter 30-minute version at $32. Impact At current volume: about +$1,060 a month (Regular +$440, Flattop and Bald Fade +$420, Beard Trim +$140, Face Shave about +$60 at $40). If 5 percent of visits on raised services walk: still about +$330 a month, with about 12 chair-hours freed up for someone else. Who Will Notice Seniors and kids. Keep the Buzz at $23 so there's an unchanged entry-level cut, and hold seniors at the old Regular price through March (decide your policy for this). Next Step Paste into the Price Increase Announcement prompt: "Rick's Flattop Shop, Cedar Park. Starting Jan 1, Regular goes from $26 to $28, Flattop and Bald Fade from $30 to $32, Beard Trim from $14 to $16; the Buzz stays $23. First raise in 3 years; supply costs and rent went up. Walk-ins still welcome. (add your notice date)" Note: this example shows what the prompt produces. Rick's Flattop Shop's name, address, services and current prices are from its website; the volumes, costs, busy times, last raise and every recommendation are test samples, not the shop's real numbers or plans.

FAQ

What if I don't know my competitors' prices?

Then the prompt won't pretend to. It writes (add 3 nearby competitors' posted prices) and skips the market comparison instead of making up numbers that sound confident and are wrong.

Won't raising prices scare off my regulars?

Some might grumble. That's why the prompt shows the math with 5 percent fewer visits and suggests a way to soften it for the customers you named, so you're deciding with numbers instead of dread.

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